FanBoardHQ

North Texas

University of North Texas · 2022 · Conference USA

FanBoardHQ CFP
#80
Efficiency
-3.7
75th FBS
Record
7-7
Conf. record
6-3
Conf. finish
T-2nd
of 11
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North Texas went 7-7 and was ranked 80th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 44th-ranked offense was the engine, backed by a 108th-ranked defense. They ran the ball on 53% of offensive plays with a 103rd-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 47% of plays with an 18th-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-0
Q2
1-2
Q3
0-3
Q4
6-2

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
Expected: 7.0 wins
Strength of Record
82nd
-4.0 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
87th
full season
87th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
118th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~7.1 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1@ UTEPConference USA#107W 3113+6.6100%14.4Q4
1vs SMUAmerican Athletic#64L 1048-3.40%-29.9Q4
2vs Texas SouthernSWACW 5927+25.7100%1.4Q4
3@ UNLVMountain West#103L 2758+5.10%-36.6Q4
4@ MemphisAmerican Athletic#65L 3444-9.20%-8.4Q3
5vs Florida AtlanticConference USA#97W 4528+5.0100%11.3Q4
7vs Louisiana TechConference USA#119W 4727+14.4100%-0.8Q4
8@ UTSAConference USA#33L 2731-10.20%3.9Q2
9@ Western KentuckyConference USA#61W 4013-10.3100%30.5Q2
10vs FIUConference USA#121W 5214+25.9100%8.1Q4
11@ UABConference USA#74L 2141-6.20%-19.1Q3
13vs RiceConference USA#109W 2117+13.6100%-13.2Q4
14@ UTSAConference USA#33L 2748-10.20%-12.6Q2
Postseason
vs Boise StateMountain West#50L 3235-7.20%-0.7Q3

14 played · 7-7. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on North Texas, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-31.2-3.0+25.2-301-37-811-14318-19-13-13Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 18th
SR 34thYPP 10thEPA 21st
RushingEff 103rd
SR 112thYPP 89thEPA 99th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 77th
SR 79thYPP 73rdEPA 72nd
Rush defenseEff 129th
SR 130thYPP 120thEPA 133rd
Dropback rate 47%Tempo +1.0 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 78th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 40%1st · Defense allowed: 47%1st2nd · Offense: 43%2nd · Defense allowed: 45%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 46%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 49%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 108.0Q1 · Allowed: 69.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 162.0Q2 · Allowed: 149.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 87.0Q3 · Allowed: 86.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 103.0Q4 · Allowed: 103.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledNorth TexasOffenseDefense
North Texas Offense vs Defense, 2022
Offensive EffRanked 44th
+3.1
Field position: -2.3Finishing drives: +5.5
Field position -2.3Finishing drives +5.5= +3.1
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 129th · Finishing 33rd

Defensive EffRanked 108th
-6.1
Field position: -1.1Finishing drives: -5.0
Field position -1.1Finishing drives -5.0= -6.1
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 98th · Finishing 102nd

2.67 points per drive on offense, 2.39 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 28.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(235)52% / 48%45%7.5
Q2(299)50% / 50%44%6.5
Q3(211)43% / 57%38%5.8
Q4(214)37% / 63%41%6.7
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(167)10.241%7.8
2nd(143)7.950%9.3
3rd(123)7.442%7.5
4th(8)6.325%1.9
All (441)44%8.1
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(264)9.639%6.1
2nd(175)7.337%5.2
3rd(63)4.446%3.5
4th(16)1.981%4.0
All (518)41%5.4

North Texas, all games.